LMI Bulletin (Issue 464)
Produced by the LMI Team at Education Development Trust
LMI Bulletin (Issue 464)
Sunderland looks set for a major regeneration of its city centre. The scheme will provide new office accomodation plus 1,000 new homes (Business Live)
The rollout of 5G (if you remember what that was) is expected to create work in the telecomms industry. Liberty Global, which owns Virgin Media, and O2’s Spanish owner Telefonica, have announced plans to create 4,000 jobs and 1,000 apprenticeship roles in the UK to speed up the rollout of 5G.
ONS latest indicators
ONS continues to publish its latest indicators on the impact of the coronavirus on society and the economy.A couple of the latest findings are:
- Be prepared for more home working as nearly a fifth (19%) of businesses intend to use increased homeworking as a permanent business model in the future
- Between 25 September and 2 October 2020, total online job adverts increased from 59% to 61% of their 2019 average, their highest recorded level since 3 April 2020
Shortage Occupation List
There are various ways of trying to identify demand for occupations - trends from the ONS surveys, vacancy stats, the long term employment prospects from Working Futures . Another is the findings of the Migration Advisory Committee (MAC) which has been around since 2008 and whose role is to provide independent and evidence-based advice to government on specific sectors and occupations in the labour market where shortages exist which can sensibly be filled by migration. As the UK moves to a points-based immigration system on 1 January 2021, the Committee has been asked by the Home Office to review the Shortage Occupation List (SOL). The SOL assesses which occupations are in shortage, i.e. where employers find it problematic to secure adequate numbers of workers with the required skills to fill their vacancies and where it is judged that migration is a sensible response to that shortage. To this extent, the SOL provides an indicator of where skill shortages exist.
This is a hefty report of over 600 pages but much of this is a summary of the evidence for each of the 150+ occupational areas that sit at Level 3 or above. The press release mentions a few new occupations which they have added including senior care workers and nursing assistants, butchers, bricklayers and welders. The full list of SOC occupations in the SOL is listed at page 641 in the report and contains most of the Level 3+ occupations. A few other things stand out from the report although not necessarily new or cheerful:
- Relative to European competitors, there has been a tendency in the UK to recruit rather than train
- Social care workers sit under the Level 3 skill level and the the MAC reinforces the need for the Government to address fundamental issues with the job design, pay and conditions of workers in the social care sector.
The MAC will also be shortly publishing a literature review on employer decision making on how to fill skill shortages, carried out by Professor Anne Green at the University of Birmingham and Dr David Owen at the Institute of Employment Research at Warwick University.
The DfE has published summary provisional data on the full year of apprenticeships 2019/20. The number of starts were down 7.8% in the first six months of the 19/20 year (August 2019 to Jan 2020) compared to 2018/19. That was 198,600 starts in England compared to the previous years' 214,200. The impact of the lockdown was as expected significant on the second half of the year and there have been 58,160 apprenticeship starts reported to date between 23 March and 31 July 2020, a lot fewer than the 107,750 reported for this period at this point last year, a decrease of 46.0%.
The Find an Apprenticeship vacancy postings show the dramatic fall. From Feb to May, an 86% reduction in vacancies.